
From the Cedar Rapids Gazette:
The telephone survey found Grassley earning 54 percent of the vote, while Conlin, the winner of last week’s Senate Democratic primary contest, attracting 37 percent. Only 2 percent prefer some other candidate, and another 8 percent are undecided.
Although candidates often get a bounce in support after a primary victory, that doesn’t seem to be the case for Conlin, according to Rasmussen. Surveys conducted since February show Grassley’s support ranging from 53 to 55 percent. Support for Conlin, a former U.S. attorney, has ranged from 37 to 40 percent. In late April, Grassley led Conlin 53 percent to 40 percent.
Among male voters in Iowa, Grassley leads Conlin by a two-to-one margin, and he has a slight edge among female voters. Grassley holds a double-digit lead over Conlin among voters not affiliated with either major political party.
This, along with the poll yesterday showing Terry Branstad leading The Big Lug by 26 points, does not bode well for downstream races involving Iowa Democrats.
I'll say this right now: I think these polls make the Dave Loebsack and Bruce Braley races highly competitive.
You may eventually see polling data showing Loebsack and Braley in the lead for those specific races, but I would discount it entirely. When you have two major Republican races (Governor and Senator) with the candidates up by 26 and 17 points respectively, this is going to discourage Democrats from voting. Why bother voting if your guy or rapist-enabler isn't even close in the polls? It will have a cascading effect into other races.
The thing is, a lot of Republicans and Independents don't care all that much for Branstad or Grassley in the first place, but the idea of another 4 years of Culver or 6 years of Conlin totally repulses them. Imagine what Branstad and Grassley would be leading by if they didn't have years of cringe-inducing statements and votes.
Speaking of cringe-inducing statements, or not actually, I don't feel that the ginned-up crusade against Representative Steve King has any merit whatsoever. Sure, Steve King runs his mouth, but what is untrue about Eric Holder's handling of the Black Panther voter intimidation case in Philadelphia? Eric Holder's decision is Obama's decision. Same with Obama running his mouth after that cop arrested Henry Gates. The Register can whine and stamp and moan all they want about how supposedly Steve King is a racist, but that's BS. Steve King just has big balls. Get over it.
