Sunday, October 15, 2006

Culver Up Seven Pounds On Latest Scale



The Des Moines Register Poll, done by Selzer & Company, shows Democrat Chet Culver with a 7 point lead over Republican Jim Nussle in the race for governor, 46% to 39%.

What's amazing is that there's no published breakdown of what percentage of Democrats, Republicans, and Independents polled.

According to active registered voter data, there are 584,744 Republicans (30.6%), 604,330 Democrats (31.5%) , and 727,010 Independents (37.9%), for a total of 1,919,084 voters. Who knows what percentage of registered voters by party Selzer & Company polled?

And then there's this from Nussle campaign manager Nick Ryan:
Every recent poll from Rasmussen to The Wall Street Journal/John Zogby is showing Jim Nussle and Chet Culver in a dead heat. It is important to keep in mind The Des Moines Register poll is only a snapshot in a close race for Governor and not a reliable snapshot at that. This is the same Iowa Poll that showed Jim Ross Lightfoot as Governor of Iowa, Howard Dean as the 2004 Democratic Presidential nominee and John Kerry as the next President of the United States. What’s more interesting is that the current Democrat Governor had knowledge of these questionable numbers to announce before partisans at a Democrat fundraiser before they were made available to the public in print or online.
Doh! What did Vilsack know and when did he know it? And who fed it to him?

The Iowa Poll has been unreliable in the past.

And do they mean that this guy is in the lead?

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